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Friday, October 2, 2026

Daily reprint · 2026-09-20

Stay or refinance

Should I refinance in 2026?

Most borrowers who locked near 3% in 2020–2021 should stay. The desk 30-year is 6.95%. This page starts with that typical loan so the answer is honest: payment usually goes up. Change the current rate if you are above the market.

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Desk 30-year
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Need the shorter break-even tool? Refinance calculator. Payment on a set loan size: $400,000 example.

Verdict

Stay put

Keep paying

$1,644

After refi

$2,118

Monthly change

+$474

Break-even

Never

Rule used here: at least 50 bp below your rate and costs recouped inside 36 months. Cash-out, ARM resets, and selling soon are different math.

Questions people type into Google

Should I refinance if my rate is 3%?
Almost never at a 6.95% 30-year. You would be swapping a cheap loan for a more expensive one and restarting a 30-year clock. Wait unless you must pull cash or drop PMI another way.
When does refinance make sense?
If you are 75 bp or more above the desk average, you plan to keep the house past the break-even, and closing costs are not being rolled into a much larger balance. Use the numbers, not a lender’s mailer.

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